Friday, July 9, 2010

Intern Guest Post - Kanthimathy palani Velayutham - Growing Up Digital

Research Outline
Topic: Kids and Online safety
 
Date: 07/09/2010
 
Research by:  Kanthimathy palani Velayutham
 
TEASER/TITLE: “Growing up Digital”
 
SUMMARY PARAGRAPH:
Technology offers extraordinary opportunities for all of society including children and young people. The internet allows for global exploration which can also bring risks – the online world paralleling but in some ways also diverging from the offline world, and video gaming offers a range of interactive experiences to children, but some of these are designed for adults. However, the generational divide between parents and children when
it comes to new technology often means that adults are less clear about their role in enabling children to manage ‘virtual world’ and online risks in the same way that they manage risks inherent in the offline world.
 
KEY FINDINGS :
·      Cyberbullying – Rates of cyberbullying increased with age including students in grades 4-8, teenagers, middle school students, etc.
o   In a survey of 1500 students, it was found that 42% have been bullied, 35% have been threatened, 21% received mean or threatening e-mails or other messages, 43% of U.S. teens experienced some form of cyberbullying.
 
·      Trafficking - According to United States State Department data, an estimated 600,000 to 820,000 men, women, and children are trafficked across international borders each year
o   approximately 70% are women and girls
o   up to 50% percent are minors.
 
·      Gang recruiting – Parents are concerned, and should be, about kids being recruited by gangs as early 4th, 5th and 6th grade. Most children do not wish to join but many admit they feel pressured to do so.
·      Addiction – Individuals who are addicted to technology find it difficult to control the amount of time spent online and their time spent surfing the web significantly interferes with their daily lives, ability to work or go to school, and social relationships.
·      There are still relatively unknown social impacts of texting vs. talking vs. in person
 
RECOMMENDATIONS
·      The Technology Industry should provide additional measures such as reporting of suspicious behavior on the internet and constant vigilance of activities online.

·      Parental supervision is strongly urged. 

o   Actions should include:  (1)  blocking access to several sites on the internet, (2)  monitoring the kids when they spend time online, (3)  putting a time limit for children who are addicted to internet, and (4)  using tools and software to block harmful content.

·      Digital literacy education, which includes educating children about the pros and cons of technology, should be implemented as early as 4th to 6th grade.

·      Reduce availability to internet

·      Restrict access to gaming, porn and social networking sites

·      Increase resilience of children to gangs, bullying, and other dark side activities of the net

 
BACKGROUND
Internet dangers come in many forms of children.
 
I am highlighting a few of those dangers.
 
BULLYING: Victims of bullying are often fearful of telling others about being bullied because they fear that the bullying may actually become worse if they tell.
  •  40-50% of victims are afraid of telling others that they are being bullied.
  •  Victims of cyber bullying are often also afraid to report to adults about being cyberbullied, as they also fear that adults will over-react and take away their mobile phone, computer and/or Internet access. This is something that is increasingly unthinkable for the “Always On” generation as not being online means not being able to socialize or communicate with their peers, and this fear of exclusion is paramount in the lives of most adolescents and teens.
 
TEXTING AND KIDS: Text messaging was intended to be a good thing. After all, it's quick, relatively cheap, and private. On a train for instance, text messaging isn't nearly as annoying as talking on your cell phone.  However, there are also negatives to text messaging.

The primary negative to text messaging, in my opinion, is a safety issue. Messaging while driving a car is even more dangerous than talking on the cell phone.

  • 56% of teenagers admit to talking on their cell phones behind the wheel
  • 13% admit to texting while driving.
  • In 2007, driver distractions, such as using a cell phone or text messaging, contributed to nearly 1,000 crashes involving 16- and 17-year-old drivers.
  • Almost 50% of all drivers between the ages of 18 and 24 are texting while driving. Many states have made talking on a cell phone without the use of a head set while driving a phone illegal. 

INTERNET ADDICTION: The internet addicts are more likely to have a more severe degree of depression than their casual web-surfing counterparts.
  • David Greenfield found that 5.7 percent of those who participated in a survey met his criteria for compulsive Internet usage. He believes that “the psychoactive nature of the Internet” is expressed by addicts who experiences time distortion, accelerated intimacy and decreased inhibition. He admits that “there is something strong and powerful” about Internet addiction, and that most affected areas seem to be marriages and relationships.

GANGS TARGETING KIDS: There are more than 20,000 gangs, with collectively over 1 million members in the United States. Gangs are present in all 50 states, the District of Columbia, and all U.S. territories, according to the Attorney General’s report to congress on the growth of violent street gangs in suburban areas.
Gangs, like organized crime rings, have taken to the Internet as a facilitator in sending messages to associates throughout the U.S. and other countries – including deported gang members, deliver threats, assert territorial boundaries that used to be scrawled as graffiti across buildings, fences, and signs, brag, and conduct ‘business’. Gang business includes drug trafficking, human trafficking, prostitution, weapons trafficking, smuggling illegal aliens across borders, murder, theft, fraud, armed robbery, auto theft home invasions, gang rapes, and more.
Gang recruitment has stepped up in regard to use of the internet technology. Gangs are using Myspace, Facebook and Youtube as a means of recruiting kids.

TRAFFICKING AWARENESS: Websites like Craigslist and Facebook have been hotbeds of child trafficking around the world, allowing one of the world's most heinous crimes flourish virtually unchecked. Craigslist has been under fire by law enforcement officials across the nation almost since its inception due to the effortlessness by which it connects sex offenders to its victims.

There are many contributing factors that are leading to the growth of child trafficking. One main cause of this pandemic is stemmed from the sex entertainment industry. Many victims of human trafficking are forced to work in this industry or prostitution. The primary factor is the demand for pornography from pedophiles and others who are constantly craving more. Some consider pornography the number one driver of child sex exploitation. Oftentimes, children are forced to act out scenes in hard-core movies for paying customers.
 
ANALYSIS:
There are measures that adults can take that will help children grow up to be responsible internet citizens.
 
CYBERBULLYING WARNING SIGNS: Cyber bullying may be conducted by sending phone text messages, images and emails, as well as through online discussion groups and personal web pages. Cyberbullying involves the use of information and communication technologies to support deliberate, repeated, and hostile behavior by an individual or group, that is intended to harm others.
 
Cyberbullying, like other forms of bullying, is about human relationships, power and control. Those who bully others are trying to establish power and control over others that they perceive to be “weaker” than them. Those who bully want to make victims feel that there is something wrong with them, but victims should know that there is NOTHING wrong with THEM. It is THE BULLIES who have the real problems. Cyberbullying does not provide any tangible feedback about the consequences of using information technologies to cyberbully others. Cyberbullies do not have to own their actions, as it is usually very difficult to identify cyberbullies, so they do not fear being punished for their actions
 
Another negative to text messaging is that it's so impersonal and a tool of choice for cyberbullies. Unfortunately, some people carry it to such an extreme that it takes the place of other contact such as the phone or in- person conversation.

INTERNET OVERUSE WARNING SIGNS: Internet use might drain your brain and sap away your time, but those who prone to bad feelings and deep depressions may actually be looking to the internet for solace and fulfillment. The links to social media sites, gaming groups can provide isolated and ostracized individuals with the kinds of connection, belonging, and sexual gratification that may be missing in their everyday offline lives. The sense of satisfaction that comes along with these internet indulgences likely feeds a negative cycle where more time spent online means less physical activity and less social contact, increasing the vulnerability to depression.
 
IMPLICATIONS:

HOW TO PREPARE CHILDREN TO BE GOOD DIGITAL ADULTS: Using technology for learning in ways that are relevant, meaningful, challenging, safe and hands-on is not an easy task. It requires a rethinking of curriculum and pedagogy as well as the spatial and temporal boundaries of education. It necessitates a reevaluation of learning in areas of engagement, individualization, and collaboration. Schools are continually updating their curriculum for digital literacy to keep up with accelerating technological developments. This often includes computers in the classroom, the use of educational software to teach curriculum, and course materials being available to students, online. 

  • Nearly 700 sixth graders at Stevenson Middle School Stevenson will be given new netbooks that serve as a fully functioning mobile computer smaller than a laptop, to use both at school and at home. Parents also will be trained in how to use and care for them and to provide online educational resources.
 
Besides engaging with technology, parents and teachers need to build more constructive relationships with children. Open dialogue, which requires a level of trust between adults and children, seems to be the key tore solving many issues surrounding the use of technology in schools today.
 
Digital, connected technology is important in our daily lives, whether it is a teenager accessing her social network on MySpace or adults using communications tools as part of their jobs. Most of us cannot imagine a world without computers or the Internet.

Digital tools will not have a real impact on teaching and learning until educators build more genuine relationships with both kids and technology. Only if we create both can we genuinely prepare our children for challenges of the 21st-century world.
 
RECOMMENDATIONS:
  • Talk to your kids:
  • Children should be reminded regularly to never give out or share their passwords, personal information such as phone number, address, personal identification numbers (PIN), etc.
  • Children should be taught to question and not believe everything they read online.
  • Children should never send a message to others when they are angry
  • Young people don’t have to be “Always on”. They should be encouraged to turn off, disconnect, and unplug, at least for a while.
  • Awareness and education are the keys to the prevention of cyberbullying!

SOURCES:

·      http://www.cyberbullying.ca/pdf/Cyberbullying_Article_by_Bill_Belsey.pdf
·      http://innovateonline.info/pdf/vol3_issue4/Schools,_Children,_and_Digital_Technology-__Building_Better_Relationships_for_a_Better_Tomorrow.pdf
·      http://southasia.oneworld.net/todaysheadlines/safeguarding-children-from-cyber-threats/?searchterm=
·      http://ezinearticles.com/?Child-Slavery---How-the-Digital-Age-Has-Created-New-Opportunities-For-Child-Traffickers&id=4356556
·      http://abcnews.go.com/WNT/story?id=2886482&page=1
·      http://ilookbothways.com/2010/06/14/gangs-use-of-the-internet-and-cell-phones/
·      http://www.smh.com.au/executive-style/management/the-use-of-digital-media-comes-at-a-price-20100615-yby6.html
·      http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/digitalnation/virtual-worlds/internet-addiction/
·      http://www.associatedcontent.com/article/783729/the_negative_effects_of_text_messaging.html
·      http://www.160characters.org/documents/SocialEffectsOfTextMessaging.pdf
·      http://www.girlsaskguys.com/Behavior-Questions/88026-text-messaging-vs-phone-calls.html


Fun to Follow on Twitter

I am so blessed to have so many great people to learn from at work, home, in my family, and in Twitterspace.

I hope you find these people as interesting to follow as I do!

Fun to Follow!

Cybersecurity, National Security, Safety of You or Kids Online
@burgessct
@momsmaterial
@insiderthreats
@cybercrime101
@intel_chris
@hidemyip
@rootnl2k
@co2hog
@catinflorida
@hidmyip
@hostexploit
@WOTN
@PvtShuttDetach
@nigroeneveld
@cybersafety808
@isa_808
@kevinfunnell
@wireheadlance
@lukika
@missiledetadv
@gregWhoward
@usmcdog
@808COP_retired
@infragard808
@someguynamedpat
@meowatthesun
@heykim
@littlebytesnews
@freedom4usa
@cybersafefamily
@safetyweb
@kakroo
@gtiadvisors
@anthonymfreed
@pranheim
@justice1776
@flags_usa
@militarydotcom
@georgevhulme
@elyssaD
@cybercrime101
@liviaweb
@teksquisite
@paperghost
@stratcon

Media with Integrity
@WBTVKristenM
@almacy
@scottstanzel
@tonyfratto

Women Trailblazing About Kid Safety!
@crisclapp
@oaklandctymoms
@marykayhoal
@wiredmoms
@rebeccanewton
@privacyprof
@micheleborba
@lindacriddle
@suescheff
@googlebombbook
@awaythrough
@janebalvanz
@theonlinemom
@spectrumpestinc
@momsmaterial

Social Media / SEO / And Fun On the Internet
@SteveAkinsSEO
@PJPuppyMom




Thursday, July 8, 2010

SUMMER INTERN GUEST POST - Kevin Elrod - How Can You Protect Your Children Online?


Topic:  Kids and Online Safety
Research by:  Kevin Elrod
Date: 7/08/10

TEASER/TITLE:  How Can You Protect Your Children Online?

SUMMARY PARAGRAPH
The information world has seen tremendous technological advances within the last decade.  Now, with the internet available on almost all mobile devices, we can connect to each other anywhere at any time.  These technological advances are not without their dangers, however, as can be seen in the numerous cases of cyberbullying and ‘sexting’ in recent headlines. With the on-going advances in technology, we must do our best to make the younger generations aware of the ever-increasing hazards of growing up in a digital world.

KEY FINDINGS
·      Information security is critical because anyone in the world can access your home address, credit card numbers, and other essential information
·      Online reputations must be managed with care in order to insure future job opportunities
·      In a survey conducted by i-SAFE Inc. during the 2003-2004 school year, 53% of kids admitted to being involved in an instance of cyberbullying

BACKGROUND
Throughout the 1980’s having a personal computer was considered a luxury.  Today, however, owning a computer is considered a staple for almost every household across America.  With the internet reaching critical mass during the 1990’s and the recent advances of web access in almost all mobile devices thereafter, information is more accessible than ever.  The younger generations have had to adapt to these technological changes from an early age, and it is safe to say that not all have acquired safe habits when browsing online.  Many children do not realize exactly how much information they are handing out when visiting certain websites or chatting with random people.
Much of the dangers of the internet lie in social networking sites such as Facebook and Twitter.  Last year saw the biggest boom in social media websites, and now 110 million Americans currently spend an average of an hour a day visiting these sites.  Anonymity plays a major role when it comes to online profiles because anyone can create them with ease.  This provides the breeding ground for such dangers as online predators and cyberbullying.  Children who are unaware of these dangers may fall to prey, and their reputations and even their lives could be in serious danger.

STRATEGIC PLANNING ASSUMPTIONS
·      Social networking is carrying over onto mobile devices with rapid progression making information even more accessible than ever before.  According to a survey conducted in the UK by Mobile Media Metrics, people on average spent 45.2 minutes a day accessing Facebook through a cell phone as opposed to accessing the same site 32.4 minutes a day through a PC.
·      With the average social media user having 128 friends/followers we are beginning to build more professional and recreational connections online than in real life.
·      With the anonymity provided through the internet cyberbullying is becoming increasingly widespread due to its natural cycle – kids who are bullied later tend to display cyberbullying behavior without considering the consequences.

ANALYSIS
Part of the plan to make the internet a safer place for kids is to teach them safe online habits at an earlier age.  According to the Online Safety Technology Working Group (OSTWG) a growing importance of “media-literacy” and “online citizenship” is what is needed to guarantee kids practicing safe online habits.  They stress that instead of focusing on certain dangerous content, we need to perceive youth as active citizens of the internet who can be both view and create its content.  In order to be a responsible “citizen” of the web, young people must understand that everything they put on the internet will be seen by others.  Keeping your private information private is one of the best ways to insure your protection against online predators and stalkers.

Another way to become an honest “citizen” includes knowing how to behave on social networking websites.  We need to make our youth aware that an increasing number of employers are beginning to look at social media websites to gain information about their future employees.  This is one of the easiest ways for a young person to damage his or her reputation at an early stage.  Of course, cyberbullying has also been a trending topic in recent years due to growth of these networking sites.  Hateful messages, bashing, and death threats are just some of the things that are being sent to and from children over the safety of the web.  These hateful acts can have drastically negative effects on a child’s self-esteem, confidence, and sense of security.  Although most people choose to ignore such acts when they see them, action must be taken if possible to prevent any further cases.

RECOMMENDATIONS
·      Make kids more “media-literate” by teaching them safe online habits at an early age
·      Make young people aware of the fact that employers have begun glancing at the online profiles of their future employees.  CBS news recently did a report on this trend and described an internet company called Ziggs where people can create online business profiles which come up first in most internet searches.
·      In cases of cyberbullying save the evidence and talk to a trusted adult about the problem
·      Get to know a child’s online world by having him/her show you around the sites he/she most frequently visits
·      Teach your children how to behave respectfully online.  Tell them that everyone they connect with on the internet is a real person with emotions and that they should be respected just like the people they interact with in real life
·      Learn how to use Facebook’s new simplified privacy settings at http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YxIdtOHs2YE&feature=player_embedded

SOURCES

Tuesday, June 29, 2010

US Army War College -- What is the Mission? What are the metrics for success?

TOPIC:
Achieving Peace - What are the defined Mission & Metrics for Iraq and Afghanistan?

SUMMARY:
I asked a couple of questions throughout my week at USAWC.  One question was around the topic of the defined Mission & Metrics of Success.

The basic question I had for the officers I spoke with was framed like this:
"I believe I am not alone in saying that I am not clear on what the defined Mission is for Iraq and Afghanistan.  Conceptually I know that it includes fighting and deterring terrorism but that is too high level.  In addition, since what gets measured gets done, what are the metrics for success in Iraq and Afghanistan?  For example, is a success metric that by mid-2010, that 80% of the protective forces would be Afghani military vs. the U.S. and its Allies?"

KEY FINDINGS:

Regarding our Missions in Iraq and Afghanistan, I walked away with more questions than answers.
This should concern you.  This is not the fault of the military.  The mission and metrics for success are defined by the civilian leadership.  Who are the civilian leaders?  These are your elected officials (and their political appointees).



The officers were very candid in their responses.  In summary:
1.  The Mission is somewhat defined by proxy in Iraq but  is not clearly defined for Afghanistan
2.  The success metrics change regularly - moving target
3.  The officers see signs that they are making positive and sustainable progress
4.  They are not sure the American public has the patience for the time horizon it will truly take to see "peace" - number of years ranged from 10-50 years depending upon who I talked to


My Key Questions:

1.  Are we Nation Building, Nation Re-Building, Both, or Neither?
2.  What does Constitutional Democracy look like for these countries?
3.  What time horizon of patience is required before we see the emergence of peace?
4.  What are the U.S. and International Allies defined set of metrics that help measure success in both theaters?  What gets measured gets done, what are we measuring?




RECOMMENDATIONS:
1.  Many of the officers I met had more than 1 deployment to the Middle East 
a.  tell your elected officials - the U.S. military needs a clearly defined mission and metrics for success 
b.  the U.S. Military is willing to fight for your right to disagree with the war, they ask that you not take it out on the military and instead alert your elected officials

2.  The U.S. Military is facing extreme budget cuts while serving in MULTIPLE theaters
a.  hold elected officials accountable - if they want to cut the budget tell them they can do so ONLY AFTER cutting the mission

3.  The U.S. Military recognizes that the definition of "enemy" and "winning" have changed and they are adjusting accordingly - but has our press/media?  our politicians?  the public?
a.  educate yourself and others on the issues - what does "winning" look like in your opinion?  tell your elected officials how you define "winning"
b.  cyberwarfare - the rules of engagement yet to be defined - how, when, why to deploy; the ethics; how to gain international agreement; understanding ripple effects

5.  The officers I spoke with indicated that one of the most effective tools in the quest for peace is Nation Building - teaching them to farm, building schools, teaching health care techniques, improving literacy

a.   this makes a lot of sense and perhaps this approach requires different training and resources deployed to focus on these issues
b.  Review additional deployment of the U.S. Department of State has a Civilian Response Corps  (see notes below)

OTHER RELATED THOUGHTS BASED ON THE LECTURES:
Definition of "Peace"

Who defines what a "better peace" is?  Does a country own this?  If you believe that all men are created equal and that our human rights come from God and not from man, what yardstick should be used to define "peace" or "better peace"?  

One of the quotes cited:
"The object in war is to attain a better peace—even if only from your own point of view.  Hence it is essential to conduct war with constant regard to the peace you desire.  This is the truth underlying Clausewitz’s definition of ‘war as a continuation of policy by other means’—the prolongation of that policy through the war into the subsequent peace must always be borne in mind."  
--B.H. Liddell Hart

When you evaluate the current civilian leadership policy towards the war in Iraq and Afghanistan, there are different centering points for the operations.  

As I understood it from the presentations at the US Army War College there are 2 primary centering points to consider:
(1) Enemy-centered operations:  aimed at defeating the enemy, mostly through "kinetic" means.
Tactics deployed:  Counter-terrorism and / or Counter-insurgency
Teams deployed:  U.S. and Multinational Forces; International Organizations; Local Organizations; Potentially Multinational Corporations

(2) Population-centered operations are aimed at assuring, persuading, and influencing indigenous populations through the provision of security, humanitarian assistance (this could be building schools, roads, teaching women how to be mid wives, fighting illiteracy), basic services, infrastructure, institution-building, support for the rule of law, etc.
Key Tactic deployed:  Stability Operations (supported by Dept of Defense's DoDI 3000.05)

Why the Civilian-Military Cooperation is so Important:
Getting to the Goal Line:  Concentrate on common objectives between the U.S. and the locals.  Promote programs that serve the local population and take away power from and frustrate the insurgents.

U.S. Department of State has a Civilian Response Corps  -- 
A ready-to-deploy team of trained civilians that can help with stabilization and reconstruction programs.  








Summer Intern - Guest Post - Steven Elliott - Cyber Warfare

Topic: Cyber Warfare
Research by:  Steven Elliott
Date: Final Version 6-28-10

TITLE: Cyber Warfare: an Introduction

SUMMARY PARAGRAPH:
The art of war has dramatically changed over the last hundred years with the invention of the airplane and the atom bomb.  The next evolution could involve the Internet, computer security experts, and cyber warfare. In a recent ABC interview, CIA Director Leon Panetta declared “we are now in a world in which cyber warfare is very real.  It could threaten our grid system.  It could threaten our financial system…it could paralyze this country, and I think that's an area we have to pay a lot more attention to.” Cyber warfare attacks are becoming increasingly popular and these attacks can and have caused significant damage to both countries and companies by stealing massive amounts of classified data and crippling economies.  This report focuses on what cyber warfare is, how it can affect the wars of tomorrow, and which nations are at the forefront of developing cyber war offensive and defensive strategies.  

KEY FINDINGS
·      There is a growing concern over cyber warfare and cyber terrorism.
·      Many countries, such as China, Russia, and the United States, are starting to increase their cyber warfare offensive and defensive capabilities.
·      Cyber attacks are mainly focused on gathering information or causing financial or infrastructural damage.
RECOMMENDATIONS
·      Increase private sector cyber security by using up-to-date antivirus software, firewalls, encryption, strong passwords, and training employees on safe computing practices.
·      Increase research in cyber security, to which the White House has allocated around 350 million dollars for the 2011 fiscal year (NITRD budget).
·      Assess whether or not cyber warfare will help with current conflicts.
BACKGROUND
Cyber warfare is a relatively new concept that, as of May 2010, is still undefined by the United States Department of Defense (Jackson 2010).  In a broad sense, cyber warfare is a war fought in cyberspace using computers and the Internet.  Cyber war is not limited necessarily just between countries, as Google found out earlier this year (Zetter 2010).  Countries have the ability to attack private companies, which could cause power outages, massive financial theft, or the loss of private information of millions of people.  This very real high tech threat has the potential to become a dangerous and damaging new tool for nations to gain the upper hand in an international conflict.

STRATEGIC PLANNING ASSUMPTIONS:
·      There is a dramatic increase in the number of cyber warfare attacks and attempted attacks.
·      Enemy nations are developing new techniques to break into computers and networks.
·      There will be an increase in cyber defense spending and the development of new national and international laws related to permissible types of cyber warfare.
·      Nations will form cyber warfare divisions creating an increased need for computer security professionals.
·      Private companies will have restrictions on how unprotected their networks are allowed to be and will be forced to increase their cyber security.

ANALYSIS:
Cyber attacks are happening more frequently and the threat from cyber attacks are growing every day. Israel, Estonia, the United States, Brazil, Russia, Georgia, and several other countries have been assaulted in the last three years alone (Eshel 2010, Boyd 2010, Kroft 2009, Danchev 2008). Also, in the last few months, at least 34 companies were attacked by a “highly sophisticated” strike that originated from China (Zetter 2010).  There are also thousands of unreported attacks on banks and companies every year (Kroft 2009).  These attacks are largely underreported or kept quiet because companies are afraid to report their concern since “it might impact their business” said Sean Henry, formerly in charge of FBI’s cyber division (Kroft 2009).  These assaults steal terabytes of classified data, personal information, hundreds of millions of dollars, and plunge cities into darkness (Kroft 2009). 
Depending on the target and the attacker’s motive, the way that attacks can occur, can be vastly different.  Attackers could hack into a network and just sit and watch the network traffic, which would allow the intruder to read documents and capture sensitive information (Kroft 2009). The attacker could shut down a network using a denial of service attack, which could cost a company millions of dollars or shut an entire country down (Boyd 2010).  Electric providers are one of the most vulnerable and most dangerous targets of attacks.  In a demonstration, security experts were able to hack into a power generator and literally made it destroy itself (Kroft 2009). The real world consequences of an actual assault could knock out a power plant for months. The US has started making its own computer chips for nuclear missiles because evidence of embedded applications put in place by foreign intelligence agencies has been found (Kroft 2009).  Ebombs can be used to actually fry computer systems (Knapp, Kenneth J., and William R. Boulton 2006), and according to Senator Carl Levin the Chairman of the Senate Committee on Armed Services “cyber weapons are approaching weapons of mass destructions in their effect” (Singel 2010).
To prevent future attacks, many nations are creating cyber defenses to protect their citizens against the threat of cyber warfare.  The main powers in the cyber warfare arena are China, Russia, and the United States, but many other countries are developing their own programs, such as Great Britain, South Korea, France, Israel, Iran, and North Korea (Kroft 2009, Clark 2009, Sung-ki 2009, Eshel 2010, Coleman 2008).  NATO has even started planning for the next generation of warfare by building the Cooperative Cyber Defence Centre of Excellence built in Estonia, after the cyber attacks on that nation in 2007.  The US Congress has set aside $17 billion for cyber security offensive and defensive initiatives (Kroft 2009).  The amount is a massive increase from even ten years ago, but money alone will not be enough to solve an impending problem from an unknown source.

IMPLICATIONS:
·      The number of cyber attacks will increase, both on private industry and governments.  According to Symantec, they “identified more than 240 million distinct new malicious programs in 2009, a 100% increase over 2008.” (Symantec annual report)
·      Many nations, including Israel, China, South Korea, and the United States, will further develop cyber armies to combat a new threat.
·      Research funding for computer security will increase.  From the 2008 fiscal year to the 2011 fiscal year, the amount spent on computer security research has increased by 133 million dollars (NITRD budget).
·      There will be a push for countries to educate children in high tech fields.  The United States 2011 fiscal budget has set aside 477.2 million dollars for Science, Technology, Engineering, and Math (STEM) programs (US budget 2011).
·      Policies will be implemented to ensure that the US is at the forefront of both the offensive and defensive ends of cyber warfare.
·      International policies will be put in place to limit the damage one nation may do to another.
·      Policies will be implemented to determine what constitutes an act of cyber war.

RECOMMENDATIONS:
·      Policies must be put in place to ensure a standard for private companies’ computer and network security.
·      Policies have to be enacted so that the military knows which techniques they are and are not allowed to perform, when engaging in cyber warfare.
·      The US military mindset has to evolve to include high tech well-trained computer security experts in cyber attack and defensive units.
·      Create defensive plans against known attack methods.
·      Increase funding for computer security research.
·      Increase public awareness of the potential threat and give tips for effective computer security practices.

SOURCES:
Boyd, Clark. "Cyber-war a Growing Threat Warn Expert." BBC NEWS. 17 June 2010. Web. 24 June 2010. .
Clark, Colin. "StratCom Plows Ahead on Cyber." DoD Buzz | Online Defense and Acquisition Journal. 29 June 2009. Web. 24 June 2010. .
Coleman, Kevin. "Iranian Cyber Warfare Threat Assessment | Defense Tech." Defense Tech. 23 Sept. 2008. Web. 24 June 2010. .
Danchev, Dancho. "Coordinated Russia vs Georgia Cyber Attack in Progress." ZDNet. 11 Aug. 2008. Web. 24 June 2010. .
Eshel, David. "Israel Adds Cyber-Attack to IDF." Military.com. 10 Feb. 2010. Web. 24 June 2010. .
Jackson, William. "DOD Struggles to Define Cyber War -- Government Computer News." Government Computer News. 12 May 2010. Web. 24 June 2010. .
Knapp, Kenneth J., and William R. Boulton. "Cyber-Warfare Threatens Corporations: Expansion Into Commercial Environmentspansion Into Commercial Environments." AllBusiness.com. 1 Apr. 2006. Web. 24 June 2010. .
Kroft, Steve. "Cyber War: Sabotaging the System - 60 Minutes - CBS News." CBS News. 8 Nov. 2009. Web. 24 June 2010. .
Singel, Ryan. "Cyberwar Commander Survives Senate Hearing." Wired News. 15 Apr. 2010. Web. 24 June 2010. .
Sung-ki, Jung. "Cyber Warfare Command to Be Launched in January." The Korea Times. 01 Dec. 2009. Web. 24 June 2010. .
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Thursday, June 17, 2010

Deadly Embrace? US-China Relations. Notes from US Army War College

EARLY DRAFT -- SNEAK PREVIEW --

This post is a work in progress and will be updated as I read through additional notes and double check facts presented during lectures and discussions.

The views expressed in this blog posting are a collective summary of many opinions expressed at the US Army War College.  The War College practices non attribution so I will not provide the source of the opinion.  I share the summary of opinions, as well as my own, to open a dialog with others.  I walked into the US Army War College with my set of facts and beliefs, and walked out adding new facts and some adjustments to my beliefs.

China as a Nation is large and vast.  It's Government is very different from our own.  Nation's are made up of people.  Separating the two, Nation's Government & Politics vs. the People, is challenging but important.

In a fairly heated, dynamic exchange of varying opinions during my study group, it was my turn to speak and I used the technology term "Deadly Embrace" to explain my theory.

Classmate Point of View Expressed:  China would never pull the rug out from under us because it would hurt them (I am paraphrasing).

My Perspective:  I politely and respectfully disagree.  In some regards I believe they have and could damage us economically and politically.

Why I say we are in a "deadly embrace" with China - A very simplified, non technical description:  When two separate computers initiate a transaction that needs the same computer resources, they get locked in a deadly embrace.  The only way to get out of the deadly embrace is to power down both computers.  You have to be careful about who powers down first or if both should go at the same time & you have to be careful about who powers back up first.

I believe our situation with China fits this simplified definition of a "deadly embrace".    We owe them money, we buy their goods, they need our services, we would like to see them improve human rights, we have different points of view on ruling a Nation...

The U.S. has many global advantages and resources but we need to be cautious and strategic about how we develop our relationship with China the next 10 years.

U.S. STRENGTHS

Competitive strengths:  (Source:  Business Week November 10, 2009)
 Entrepreneurship
 Innovation - We are still a leader in science & technology
 Top in the Globe for Education - We rank among the best institutions of higher learning
 Committed (mostly) to competition and free markets
 Deep & effective (mostly) capital markets
 Resilient & dynamic


U.S. - CHINA RELATIONS - CONSIDERATIONS
Pollution / Climate Change
Demographics
Military Modernization
Human Rights
U.S. Capitalism is Under Seige by Protectionism & Populism

FACTS DISCUSSED:
1.  Quote:  Mike McConnell, Dir of National Intelligence  Oct 30, 2008

“China is posed to have more impact on the world over the next 20 years than any other country.”

2.  POLLUTION:  China predicted to emit more than double the carbon dioxide emissions of the U.S.  Source:  Energy Information Administration

3.  ECONOMICS & DEMOGRAPHICS

a.  GDP of the Global Economy is changing very quickly.  $ figures are from IMF.

GDP 2009 (millions of USD):
Rank 1:  US 14,256,275 
Rank 3:  China 4,908,982

b.  Strength in Numbers - Population
U.S.  305 Million
China 1.3 Billion

China population is aging.  By 2050, 1/3 of their population will be retirees

4.  MILITARY MODERNIZATION
China has focused resources on their Army (PLA) without detracting too much from their economy.  Their official budget more than doubled in less than 10 years!  (Approx $27.9B in 2000 to $60.1B in 2008 USD). 

However, the U.S. still spends more than China on its military if you compare the "official" budgets.  We are not sure how much is spent by China off the official books on the military.

5.  HUMAN RIGHTS
The U.S. has a national debt of $13 TRILLION and it is growing every day.  Our National debt is larger than the economies of the UK, Australia and China combined.

23% of our Debt is Foreign Owned.

The Top 3 Countries and Entities Holding Our Debt (Sources:  Treasury Dept and Defeat the Debt):
Japan
China
UK
  
What does this have to do with Human Rights?  The U.S. owes China money.  When your own house is not in order, it is hard to lecture others on their issues.  

During the course of the week at USAWC, I learned from the military leaders that attended that a systemic & core reason for unrest and lack of peace in many parts of the world can be attributed to poverty, sub par education & lack of human rights protections.  The Chinese government's track record on Human Rights has had its fair share of issues.  How bold can we be asking them to change their approach when they are one of our main lenders?

As always, I am open to all comments, questions, and suggestions.

Sunday, June 13, 2010

US Army War College - Foreign Observations About Our Country

At the War College, there are several officers that attend from allied countries.  They bring a richness to the discussion that you might not otherwise experience.

The War College asks all participants to follow the non attribution policy so I will not note the name nor the country that the soldier belonged to.

I have been exposed to perspectives that have enriched my perspectives.

I'll start with 5 questions:
1.  The major differences between your country & the U.S.
2.  Your country's view of the U.S.
3.  The time horizon for establishing Middle East peace.
4.  Foreign aid ( a question that was posed to me ).
5.  Allies - measuring the "fair share" of the peacekeeping burden ( a question that was posed to me ).

Here are some notes from my interactions with Foreign Officers:

1.  When asked the differences between their country and ours, one soldier replied:
a.  Your country focuses on protecting the rights of the individual as part of your country.  Our country focuses on our country's rights which an individual belongs to.
b.  Your military organizations and members tend to be more religious than ours.
c.   Our borders are closed.  We are very limited and particular about who is allowed to become a citizen of our country.

2.  When asked to explain their country's view of the United States, one soldier replied:
You (the U.S.) are a friend to Israel.  You (the U.S.) are perceived as an enemy to Islam.

3.  When asked what the commitment needs to be to establish peace in the Middle East that is sustainable, answers from various soldiers ranged from 50-100 years.

4.  When the foreign officers asked me my knowledge of the amount of foreign aid we send overseas, I did not have a full command of the facts.  As a taxpayer, I felt pretty silly not knowing the extent of our dollars going abroad.

Maybe some of you are shaking your heads that I was so out of touch with the $.  That is okay.  But, for those of you that did not know the extent of our generousity, here are a few numbers that I jotted down:

a.  Israel is often in the top 1-3 largest recipients (if you count all programs) of assistance since WWII.  We are expected to increase our military assistance to Israel to about $3B in Fiscal year 2012.

b.  Since the end of WWII, the US has loaned and given $1 Trillion+ to roughly 150 countries.

c.  Roughly $550 Million has been set aside to support the Merida Initiative (this initiative is focused on stopping/preventing the escalation of terrorism, drug trafficking, and other crimes in Mexico and Central
America)

d.  Roughly $1.3 Billion+ goes to Egypt

e.  Approximately $2.1 Billion was allocated for the State Dept and USAID programs in Africa (Sudan, Liberia, Zimbabwe & Somalia) to address NON HIV/Aids health, economic growth, and political issues.

For better and more thorough statistics and amounts, I would refer you to the www.USAID.gov site.

5.  When the foreign soldiers asked for MY perspective on whether or not the rest of the world was pulling their weight and doing their fair share in the Middle East, they shared the following facts:

a.  Per capita, the highest number of soldier deaths?  The hardest hit was the UK.  The United States has lost more soldiers but the UK took the heavier hit per capita.

b.  Norway has dedicated 25% of their total military to the Middle East efforts.

c.  The price of peace - The U.S. plus NATO, Japan, S. Korea and Australia spend over $1 Trillion if you tally up spending on the military.  The U.S. is roughly $700 Billion of that spending.  I found various sources where the $ are near this range.  One source you may find of interest is:
http://www.globalissues.org/

These are just a few of the notes from my conversations.  As always, I am very interested to hear from you. Would love your comments and questions.

Were any of these comments or notes surprising to you?  Do you agree / disagree?